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Red Swan Risk

Commentary

Posted on February 19, 2019February 22, 2019

JPMorgan balances risk and reward with AI model checker

Your models are the core of your portfolio’s accuracy and performance. You absolutely can not make informed decisions without real and accurate information. What if More...…
Posted on December 21, 2018December 21, 2018

The Trump Dump

The Trump “bump” is now officially the Trump Dump, as investors flee the market. That’s how it goes when you take credit for everything good More...…
Posted on August 7, 2018August 8, 2018

The 10 Most Painful Questions for Risk Managers to Answer

There was a time when simply saying you had a risk system (preferably one that was well known, such as RiskMetrics) was enough to satisfy More...…
Posted on June 27, 2018June 28, 2018

Ready, Fire, Aim.

The scattershot approach to trade tariffs has caused uncertainty and confusion in the markets. After all the tough talk on trade wars that are easy More...…
Posted on March 25, 2018April 20, 2018

China Syndrome: Has the China Trade War Finally Triggered a Trump Meltdown?

After a year of political turmoil culminating in a whirlwind of March departures of key staff including Gary Cohen, Rex Tillerson and HR McMasters, Trump More...…
Posted on February 22, 2018February 27, 2018

Volatility Model Risk – The Tail That Wagged the Dog?

The recent surge in the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) at the start of the month and the proximate market correction raised a number of questions More...…
Posted on December 26, 2017March 15, 2018

Bitcoin Cash Crash: The Grinch who stole Christmas

The speculative frenzy around Bitcoin reached a peak in December as Coinbase became the #1 app on the iPhone and their client base overcame Schwab. More...…
Posted on December 12, 2017December 26, 2017

Learning to Love Risk

Most people have a love hate relationship with risk. We love the thrill of the stock market rising but hate losing money. Today, everyone seems More...…
Posted on October 12, 2017December 12, 2017

The Dog that Didn’t Bark

If you are puzzled by the low volatility in financial markets, you have good company. Richard Thaler, the Nobel Prize winning economist is also puzzled More...…
Posted on September 22, 2017December 12, 2017

Coin craze or a fraud by any other name?

In case you’ve been too occupied by Trump, Irma, Harvey or Kim Jong-un, you may not have noticed but the cryptocurrency market has been on More...…

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